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Data report · Verified 17 August 2026

The state of
outdoor dating.

Dating-app fatigue is measurable. Outdoor participation just hit a record. Here's the sourced data on both trends, and where the gap between them is heading.

6 sourced statistics· Every figure is third-party research· Full disclosure below

The short version

Dating apps are losing people to burnout, not just to each other: 78% of Gen Z report dating-app fatigue and most downloads are deleted within a month. At the same time, outdoor recreation just posted its ninth consecutive record year, and activity-based groups — hiking clubs specifically — are growing faster than almost anything else in social software. The two trends are moving in opposite directions at the same time, and the data below is why.

The headline numbers

Six numbers, three trends.

78%

of Gen Z report dating-app burnout

Source: Forbes Health
69%

of dating apps downloaded in 2025 were deleted within a month

Source: AppsFlyer
183.2M

Americans did outdoor recreation in 2025 — a record 9th straight year

Source: Outdoor Industry Association

growth in Strava hiking clubs during 2025

Source: Strava Year in Sport
90M

AllTrails accounts, up 20% year over year

Source: AllTrails 2025 Impact Report
1 in 5

runners has dated someone they met at a run club

Source: Fortune

Dating apps, losing people

Tinder's paying users, 2022 → 2025.

2022
11.1M paying users
2025
8.77M paying users

Match Group-reported paying subscriber counts. Only the two points we could independently source are shown — no interpolation.

And the downloads that remain don't stick

Share of dating-app downloads deleted within a month.

2024
65% deleted within a month
2025
69% deleted within a month

AppsFlyer mobile analytics, as reported by Fast Company.

Where each app sits

The positioning map behind the numbers.

Built around the screenBuilt around the outdoorsPeople you already knowPeople you haven't metTinderBumbleHingeGRASSMeetupBunchupsStravaAllTrailsCatch

Scroll the map sideways →

Positioning, not measurement. The horizontal axis is what each product is organised around; the vertical axis is who it helps you meet. The corner outdoor participation is growing into — outdoor-first, strangers-welcome — is the one still mostly empty.

What the apps in that gap charge

Cost, side by side.

Meetup
$48/mo
Hinge
$32.99/mo
Tinder
$24.99/mo
Bumble
$17/mo
Strava
$79.99/yr · $6.67/mo
AllTrails
$79.99/yr · $6.67/mo
GRASS
Free tier available
Bunchups
Free to get started
Catch of a Lifetime
Free for founding members

Headline paid tiers, verified 16 August 2026. Bar length is the monthly equivalent so annual plans are comparable. Full sourcing on each product's own comparison page, linked below.

Questions

The report, answered.

Why are dating apps declining in 2026?
Usage data points to burnout: Forbes Health found 78% of Gen Z report dating-app fatigue, and AppsFlyer found 69% of dating apps downloaded in 2025 were deleted within a month, up from 65% in 2024. Tinder's paying subscriber base fell from 11.1 million in 2022 to 8.77 million in 2025 (Match Group).
Is outdoor recreation actually growing?
Yes — the Outdoor Industry Association recorded 183.2 million American participants in 2025, a record for the ninth consecutive year, up roughly 30 million since 2019. Hiking and camping were named specific 'gateway' growth activities in the same report.
What are people doing instead of dating apps?
Trend reporting from Fortune and others points to run clubs, hiking clubs and other activity-based groups. Strava recorded 6x growth in hiking clubs and 59% growth in run-club membership during 2025, and reports roughly 1 in 5 runners has been on a date with someone they met through a run club.
Who compiled this report?
Catch of a Lifetime, an outdoor-first social platform launching in 2027 — see the disclosure section below. Every statistic above is third-party research, independently sourced and dated; none of it is Catch's own data or a claim about Catch.

Disclosure

This report was compiled by Catch of a Lifetime, an outdoor-first social platform launching in 2027. We have an obvious interest in the trend described above — weigh that accordingly.

Every statistic in this report is third-party research, independently sourced and dated below. None of it is Catch's own data, and none of it is a claim about Catch itself. If you want to read where we're specifically making the case for our own product — including where competitors beat us — that's on our comparison pages, not on this one.

The waitlist

See where this goes.

Catch of a Lifetime is betting the gap between these two trends is real. Join the waitlist to find out — free for founding members, opening metro by metro in 2027.

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